Lizard People for Franken

The Minnesota Senatorial battle continues with a statewide recount. Nate Silver thinks Franken will win. Maybe. Or not. Who knows. Meanwhile, MPR has posted a collection of photos of challenged ballots, including my personal favorite, Lizard People:

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November 20, 2008

The Nader Effect in 2008

So, it looks like Nader might have cost Obama the state of Missouri. Check it out:

  • McCain: 1,445,812
  • Obama: 1,442,810
  • Nader: 17,813
  • Barr: 11,386
If you assume that 3rd party voters would have voted for their more closely aligned major party candidate, had their 3rd party candidate not been running, Obama would’ve seen an upswing of 6500 votes in his tally, which is twice as many votes as he would’ve needed to take the state.
Fortunately, Nader ended up being completely irrelevant in this Presidential cycle.

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November 19, 2008

November 12, 2008

A Poor Choice of Words

“You know,” [Chuck Heath, Sarah Palin's father] said, “the kids lose underwear, and everything has to be accounted for.” (from Maureen Dowd)

You know, I bet Bristol just has the worst time remembering where she left her underwear. When is her wedding to Levi, again?

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November 12, 2008

November 10, 2008

Newsweek’s Campaign ‘08 Retrospective

Newsweek had a number of reporters embedded in the McCain, Obama and Clinton campaigns for the past year, working on a multi-part inside story on what happened over the past year. Part 4 of 7 was posted this morning, and it’s well worth the time to read it. Here’s one of my favorite highlights from Part 4:

At the end of August, as Hurricane Gustav threatened the coast of Texas, the Obama campaign called the Red Cross to say it would be routing donations to it via the Red Cross home page. Get your servers ready—our guys can be pretty nuts, Team Obama said. Sure, sure, whatever, the Red Cross responded. We’ve been through 9/11, Katrina, we can handle it. The surge of Obama dollars crashed the Red Cross Web site in less than 15 minutes.

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November 6, 2008

Election Beer Bets

I bet my friend Neil a pint of beer that Obama would win Georgia. He accepted.

I bet my friend Dominic with 2:1 odds that Obama will lose Arizona. He accepted. It would be worth two pints of beer to me to see McCain so thoroughly defeated, especially if Shadegg goes down, too.

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November 4, 2008

Toot’s vote

This made me tear up. I just read this over at DKos that Barack Obama’s grandmother’s vote will be counted under Hawaii state law.

Ms. Dunham’s absentee mail ballot was received and reviewed under the Hawaii standards for processing absentee mail ballots… She was alive at that time. Her ballot will be opened tomorrow, and it will be counted in the same way that all absentee voters would be treated under our law.

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November 3, 2008

My Guess for Tomorrow

Obama 364 to McCain 174. Same as Karl Rove is predicting, perversely, except that I genuinely think that Georgia is going to flip, given the African-American turnout I’ve been reading about. Obama wins all of the Kerry states, plus CO, NM, FL, OH, GA and VA. Missouri will lose its bellwether status, although it’s going to be a nailbiter that may well end up in a recount (not that it’ll matter).

The networks will essentially call the election by 7:30PM PST, after Ohio and Virginia are called for Obama.

In related news, pundits are overwhelmingly predicting that I will stumble into work late on Wednesday, nursing a bad hangover.

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November 3, 2008